"​Fed Will Lower Rates Again Before January Trading History Shows" Says Bloomberg. Monday'​s Elizabeth Stanton article discusses two indicators pointing to lower rates -- 2-​year Treasury note yields over 50 basis points below the Fed fund target and Fed funds futures. Futures currently predict at least two more 1/​4-​point reductions, though their record of accuracy is mixed at best. The piece says, "[​T]​raders have pushed the yield on Treasury two-​year notes to almost three quarters of a point below the designated 4.​75 percent funds rate. In the three previous occasions during the past 20 years when that has happened, policy makers have cut borrowing costs."

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